Wednesday, May 18, 2016

5-18-16

One thing you have to keep in mind with my analysis is it is primarily technical. While some fundamental factors may effect me, they can also be manifested and not relied upon. Money flow is real... you can trust that. Be ever vigilant in watching the money flow.

Onward to the charts.

 
 
 
Long term trend is up. Are we due for a correction at this time? If the magic number "7" means yes... then I suppose we are. Personally not sure the global economy can handle it right now. I suppose we could handle anything, but what I mean is I don't think "they" want to deal with it. Honestly, I do not have tin foil on my head... really. (well not most of the time)
 

 
 

Tuesday, May 10, 2016

Trade's

My system is ever evolving and tweaked. While I have been in the game for a while I am far far from being what anyone would consider an expert of any kind of authority on trading. The game is so complex I know I can't know it all. I think we are trading against people that are being led around by algos. Sounds like I am a conspiracy nut, but it's not so far fetched. I have seen enough evidence to support it. Don't buy into the illusion they have created. Trade against it.

From this point forward I will publish charts. Happy trading!

Me and my trading strats

I am a 48 year old part time options trader. I started trading in the late 90's day trading equities and almost blew up my account. Traded off and on since then, with much more frequency in the last 3 years. I form my own fundamental opinion of a stock and then use technical analysis to target my buy/sell prices. I prefer options with plenty of liquidity and reasonable spreads. The stock market is a game designed to take money from the public. Never lose sight of that. Options trading is a form of gambling, but we call it investing so it sounds more sophisticated. I use options because of the leverage it gives me. I have made good money with options and I have lost good money with options. Capital preservation is the key to trading long term. The timing of your entry and exit is very crucial.

Ways to destroy your trading account:

  1. NOT having a trading plan with capital preservation built into every trade.
  2. NOT having a trading plan.
  3. Position size too large for the account size.
  4. NOT choosing your buys/sells using sound technical analysis.
  5. Following some idiot on stocktwits or similar web site thinking you can trade whatever drivel they say and make money.
  6. Overtrading - You don't have to trade everyday or every week. Let the trades come to you, don't chase stocks.
  7. NEVER Trade on the fly or using gut feelings. Each trade needs to follow your trading rules. Gut feelings are emotions, which are not good for trading.
  8. NOT having an exit strategy OR allowing the price to go against you well past your stop loss thinking that the stock will pull back and THEN you will get out. Bad idea. Your first loss is your BEST loss. Get out and look at it again from the sidelines. It's OK to be wrong.

If you protect your capital and have a sound trading plan, your account will grow. The 8 deadly sins above mean a lot more than they seem. I know people that buy 200 or more contracts on weeklies for small scalps. The scalps may add up to serious cash, but those potential for loss is MUCH greater if it goes against you.